Reason and rationality in nuclear deterrence : implementing an approach to nuclear crisis resolution using meta-game theory

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Authors
McCarty, Evan
Issue Date
2014-08
Type
Electronic thesis
Thesis
Language
ENG
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Computer science
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Abstract
Nuclear deterrence has been an important political goal for decades. It involves a strategy, cooperation and an understanding of the options and rationale of all parties involved. Simulations of these scenarios are very valuable, but pose unique challenges from a mathematical standpoint. While each simulation tech- nique poses its own strengths and weaknesses, game theory provides a desirable framework for modeling competitive, two-agent scenarios. However, there are some improvements still to be made. This paper will propose and demonstrate a simple implementation of a computational meta-game theory approach which we expect to outperform traditional game theory. This approach is able to in- crease expressivity and adaptability without expense to accuracy.
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August 2014
School of Science
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Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Troy, NY
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